The IEM Melbourne 2025 semi-final delivers a high-stakes matchup between #3 ranked MOUZ and #9 ranked Falcons, as both teams chase glory in one of this year’s top CS2 LAN tournaments. With a deep map pool, star firepower on both sides, and recent clashes to draw from, this series is set to be one of the most tightly contested of the event.
Below, we break down team form, map stats, key player performances, and provide a betting prediction based on the latest odds.
🏆 Tournament Overview: IEM Melbourne 2025
- Location: Melbourne, Australia
- Stage: Semi-finals
- Date: April 26, 2025
- Format: Best of 3 (BO3)
- Prize Pool: $250,000
- Organizer: ESL
IEM Melbourne has brought top-tier CS2 action to Oceania, and this semi-final pits two elite European squads against each other, both in strong form and aiming for a spot in the final.
🔥 Team Overview & Lineups
✅ MOUZ (World Rank #3)
- Players: Brollan, Spinx, xertioN, Jimpphat, torzsi
- Recent Form: 3-match win streak (W vs TheMongolz, GamerLegion, BIG)
- Star Player:torzsi
- Rating: 1.12
- Kills/Round: 0.72
- Impact: 1.03
🟢 Falcons (World Rank #9)
- Players: m0NESY, Magisk, kyxsan, NiKo, TeSeS
- Recent Form: Wins over GamerLegion, SAW, and G2; losses to Vitality and NAVI
- Star Player:m0NESY
- Rating: 1.26
- Kills/Round: 0.82
- Impact: 1.30
- ADR: 82.8
Despite being ranked lower, Falcons have some of the most dangerous riflers in the world, and m0NESY is in peak form — capable of turning games single-handedly.
📊 Head-to-Head (2025 Matches Only)
| Tournament | Map | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| BLAST Open Lisbon | Ancient | 13-10 | MOUZ |
| BLAST Open Lisbon | Train | 13-11 | MOUZ |
| ESL Pro League | Nuke | 13-9 | MOUZ |
| ESL Pro League | Train | 13-7 | MOUZ |
| PGL Cluj-Napoca | Mirage | 4-13 | Falcons |
| PGL Cluj-Napoca | Dust2 | 13-6 | MOUZ |
- Total Record (2025): MOUZ 8 wins – Falcons 3 wins
- Conclusion: MOUZ has dominated this matchup historically, especially on Ancient, Train, and Dust2.
🗺️ Map Stats & Win Rates (Last 3 Months)
| Map | MOUZ WR | Falcons WR |
|---|---|---|
| Ancient | 77% (13 maps) | 56% (16 maps) |
| Nuke | 75% (16 maps) | 64% (11 maps) |
| Mirage | 55% (11 maps) | 64% (14 maps) |
| Dust2 | 44% (9 maps) | 59% (17 maps) |
| Inferno | 38% (13 maps) | 46% (13 maps) |
| Train | 75% (4 maps) | 40% (10 maps) |
| Anubis | Not played | Not played |
✅ Best Map for MOUZ: Ancient
⚠️ Falcons Map Strength: Mirage, Dust2, Nuke
🧠 Ban likely: Anubis
Expect a map veto battle with MOUZ pushing for Ancient/Train while Falcons look to grab Mirage/Nuke.
💥 Recent Form – Last 5 Matches
MOUZ:
- ✅ 2-0 vs TheMongolZ
- ✅ 2-1 vs GamerLegion
- ✅ 2-1 vs BIG
- ❌ 1-2 vs Vitality
- ✅ 2-0 vs Eternal Fire
Falcons:
- ✅ 2-0 vs GamerLegion
- ❌ 0-2 vs Vitality
- ❌ 1-2 vs NAVI
- ✅ 2-0 vs SAW
- ✅ 2-1 vs G2
Both teams have faced stiff competition lately, but MOUZ appears more consistent in converting series wins.
🧠 Betting Odds & Prediction
Odds are subject to change. Please check with your preferred bookmaker.
| Team | Decimal Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| MOUZ | 1.72 | -139 |
| Falcons | 2.05 | +105 |
🔮 Prediction: MOUZ to Win
- Better head-to-head record
- Deeper map pool
- torzsi and xertioN in solid form
- Falcons rely heavily on m0NESY and Niko — if they are off, they crumble
✅ Bet Recommendation: MOUZ to Win – 1.72 (-139)
